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 by PARAM
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   12241  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

Awesome. Was there ever really any doubt?

FACT: More men have walked on the moon than have scored a postseason run off of Mariano!!

Here's a nice piece from Jeter

 by PARAM
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   12241  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

That was a nice piece from Jeter. He something from a real piece of shit! Bill Ballou of the Telegram & Gazetter....located in, surprise, surprise.....Worchester, Mass......believes the ML save is the lowest hanging piece of fruit.

link
Let's start with a legal term and stipulate that Mariano Rivera is the greatest closer in baseball history.

Even so, I am not voting for him for the Hall of Fame, and three people come to mind as part of the reason why — Craig Kimbrel, Adam Viniateri and Taylor Dakers.

Kimbrel, of course, was the Red Sox' closer last year, and his performance in the postseason was an abomination. When he pitched, Boston's victories felt like defeats. In 10-2/3 innings he had an ERA of 5.90, and permitted 19 baserunners.

He was also 6 for 6 converting saves — a perfect record.

In the Patriots' 32-29 Super Bowl victory over the Carolina Panthers on Feb. 1, 2004, Vinatieri kicked a field goal with 9 seconds left to provide New England with its margin of victory, a play that was described as "clutch" and "game-winning."

However, Vinatieri missed a 31-yarder in the first quarter and had a 36-yarder blocked in the second.

On Nov. 16, 2008, in Springfield, Dakers — a second-year goalie for the AHL Worcester Sharks — stopped a mere 11 shots, most from near the blue line — in a 3-0 victory to record the first shutout of his professional career. Asked after the game how excited he was, Dakers replied, "To be honest with you, any living member of my family would have had a shutout tonight."

The point being that The Save — the baseball kind — is the lowest-hanging fruit on the game's statistical tree. Closers are its naked emperors.

Kimbrel was perfect in his postseason saves because saves are so easy to come by. Had Vinatieri made either of his two earlier field goal attempts in 2004, the score would have been exactly the same, but because he made one later rather than sooner, it made everyone forget the two previous failures.

Just because something happens at the end of a game doesn't make it intrinsically more important that happens at the beginning.

And Dakers' shutout? Just about any living major league pitcher can record a save, that's how easy they are to come by.

The Closer has evolved into a role created to justify a statistic. Don't take my word on that. There are higher authorities who speak to it.

One is Terry Francona, whose managerial skills are likely to take him to the Hall of Fame.
Francona's creative use of his bullpen in the Cleveland Indians' postseason ventures may be a first step towards destroying the Cult of the Closer, and when asked about it at the annual Boston Baseball Writers dinner in 2017 he said, "The way salaries are structured, I don't blame guys for wanting to close games. This is how Cody Allen's going to make some money. He was every bit as important to us when he was pitching the seventh and eighth as he is now pitching the ninth."

Francona later added, "If the (save) rules were changed, you might start seeing guys used differently."

Ditto former St. Louis Cardinals manager Mike Matheny, who once told baseball writer Derrick Goold, "...There are contracts involved. There are personal statistics that help drive personal achievement as far as salaries go. For us to be completely oblivious to that I think is a mistake as well."

Rivera was 82-60 with a 2.21 ERA and 652 saves, all but 10 of his 1,115 games a reliever. For most of those games, though, he was presented with "clean innings," tools designed to make it as easy as possible for the closer. He didn't have to face batters a third, or even a second, time around. He rarely came in with men on base. He didn't have to conserve energy and pitches to stay in the game for as long as possible to allow the closer to get a save.

He was great in the ninth inning, agreed, but if he was that great why not bring him with the bases loaded and nobody out in the seventh or eighth? Why not use him as a starter?
Baseball is a game of exposure. The more you play, the more accurate your numbers. The opposition figures out your weaknesses. You get tired and fight through injuries. Closers don't have to deal with that. As Hall of Famer Pedro Martinez once told me two years ago, "If I had been a reliever, I'd still be pitching. With my training program and conditioning, how I kept in shape, I could have gone for a long time.

"I'll tell you one thing — I was a reliever for one year (1993) and I was never tired that year."


Rivera never won an ERA title because he never pitched enough innings — about 70 a season on average — to qualify. Would you award a pennant to a team that only played 70 games no matter how good its record in those games? A hitter who batted .400 in 300 plate appearances would not be recognized as the batting champion, would he?

What is different about closers? Why do they get a hall pass when it comes to the numbers?
Because what they do is the last thing you remember about a game (see Vinatieri above). Chris Sale lived a dream when he was on the mound for the last out of the 2018 World Series, but it's fair to say that David Price's seven innings as a starter had a lot more to do with Boston winning than Sale's one.

Managers, Francona once said, are judged by how they use their bullpens. He was also fond of saying that momentum is tomorrow's starting pitcher, never mentioning relievers. He is right — the baseball public is focused on what happens at the end of the game and woe to the manager who screws it up no matter how exemplary his job performance is otherwise.
Imagine if Buck Showalter never manages another major league game. His distinguished career may best be remembered for his failure to use Zach Britton in a playoff game in 2016. Closers don't make managers good, but they can make them look good, or bad. That's a perception, though, and not a reality.

Pete Palmer, a renowned sports researcher, analyzer and statistician, had a piece in last spring's Baseball Research Journal about relief pitching strategy. He discovered that in games where a team is ahead but more likely to lose because of the score and runners on base — a true save and not some statistical creation — the team saves leader (closer) now comes in about 5 percent of the time.

Palmer cites a research paper by Dave Smith — "The Myth of the Closer" — which concludes that in the last 100 years of Major League Baseball, the likelihood that a team that leads going into the ninth inning will win has not changed.

Ergo, who needs a closer?

All of that said, nobody I've talked to about this agrees with me on Rivera. Francona, Matheny, Martinez — they would all no doubt cast Hall of Fame ballots for Rivera if they could vote. Even Palmer writes that Rivera is a shoo-in for the Hall of Fame. The class of 2019 will be revealed Jan. 22.

My thought on the Hall of Fame is that it is more than numbers, that its members must have the kind of presence that would make somebody buy a ticket — not hometown fans, but general baseball fans — just to say they saw him play.

Rivera fits that description. He is a larger-than-life performer whose character is impeccable. He has had a long career, albeit in a role I do not value, a role I equate with a PAT kicker in football or a shootout guy in hockey.

If Rivera had been that seventh- or eighth-inning guy who came in with the bases loaded and wound up with 100 saves and not 652, would he be Hall of Fame material?
Maybe, but I don't think so.

Without a doubt, though, Rivera is going to be elected to the Hall of Fame on this ballot, so whether or not I vote for him is irrelevant.

With baseball becoming increasingly dependent on analytics, I think that closers will eventually evolve out of fashion, but the opposite could happen. Maybe new research will determine them to be the most critical components of a pitching staff.

I could be wrong about all of this, and everyone I have the debate with says, "I see your point, but Rivera is different." Maybe he is and I'm just missing something.

Rivera could be the first Hall of Famer elected unanimously. I think I'm right about closers, but not so much that I would deny Rivera a chance to be the first unanimous Hall of Famer.
Thus, I'm not voting this year. A submitted blank ballot is "no" vote for every candidate, so I'm doing a Switzerland and not sending one at all.

—Contact Bill Ballou at sports@telegram.com. Follow him on Twitter @BillBallouTG.


This guy is a fucking tool!! From Massachusetts of course!! Everybody is Massachusetts is pissed off because Teddy Baseball wasn't elected unanimously. The greatest hitter to ever play. The greatest player? Not even in the conversation!!!! See baseball is about both hitting AND defense. I can remember stories my father told me about TW. How he saw him stand still and not even chase a ball in the gap at Yankee Stadium. Williams was your classic prima donna before the term was used. And this jackwagon from Red Sox country wants to minimize Rivera's accomplishments. He needs to research his claim juuuuuust a little bit more.

Rivera always had a clean inning?
He rarely came in with men on base?
Rivera never came in in the 8th?
Why not bring him in in the 8th?

And of all guys, he cites comments from the biggest blowhard that ever played baseball, Pedro Martinez. "If I was a reliever I'd still be pitching". Fuck you Pete!! You assaulted a 70 year old man, you fucking coward!!! For as dominant as many claim you were, you could only manage to break even against the Yankees.
32 G, 11-11 record, 3.20 ERA, 216.2 IP, 170 H, 63 BB, 261 K, 17 HR, 1.08 WHIP.
Who's your daddy? Surely not humility and definitely not photographic memory!!!

Anyway, this asshole should have his HOF voting rights taken away from him. And I hope every writer in NYC leave Big Poppy off their ballots.....but then that would be wrong and they have too much class to do that!!!

 by dieterbrock
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   11512  
 Joined:  Mar 31 2015
United States of America   New Jersey
Hall of Fame

Happy for Mo, although it was pretty much a no brainer he was in....

HOF has lost a lot of luster for me, so I find it hard to get all geeked up about it. Moose? Hey its great he is in, but I never really thought of him as a HOF player.

Steroid players cant get in because they cant get the votes and in turn the marginal players who wouldn't have gotten in, now will as they pick up those votes.

 by PARAM
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   12241  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

dieterbrock wrote:Moose? Hey its great he is in, but I never really thought of him as a HOF player.


I got all geeked up for Mo and when Jeter is due. The fact MO was unanimous was special.

Moose? I never thought of him as a HOF player but when you look at his career, numbers, etc. he deserves it.

 by dieterbrock
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   11512  
 Joined:  Mar 31 2015
United States of America   New Jersey
Hall of Fame

PARAM wrote:I got all geeked up for Mo and when Jeter is due. The fact MO was unanimous was special.

Moose? I never thought of him as a HOF player but when you look at his career, numbers, etc. he deserves it.

He’s not Harold Baines but he’s just meh in my book. And I think it’s a joke he doesn’t wear a Baltimore hat.
Much more impressive career as an O.
David Cone was a more dominant pitcher, and he doesn’t even get close to HOF.
Moose is of the compiler ilk. No Cy Young awards, never even close really. No championships, mediocre post season.

 by PARAM
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   12241  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

If you disregard his first season when he was used primarily as a starter:

1216.2 IP
927 H
274 ER
256 BB
1122 K
75-57
2.03 ERA
652 SV
0.97 WHIP

What sets him apart even more from the rest is his post season numbers.
Combined with his regular season figures (excluding rookie season):

83-58
1.89 ERA
0.95 WHIP
694 SV
1357.2 IP
1013 H
285 ER
277 BB
1232 K

The guy was incredible. 1 pitch and everybody knew it was coming.

 by moklerman
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   7680  
 Joined:  Apr 17 2015
United States of America   Bakersfield, CA
Hall of Fame

I think this conversation isn't so much about Rivera being deserving, it's about him being the first. He likely deserves to be unanimous but it's a shame that so many before him weren't.

Breaking that ice will hopefully become a good thing but it places an elevated value on him that he doesn't deserve. That he is the first unanimous choices puts him ahead of many greats of the past that I think all would agree that he wasn't "as" great as.

There are so many examples of guys who should have been unanimous that it's pointless to list some of them. So, this really should be a commentary on the broken HOF process and the petty, vindictive members that populate the voters. But, it becomes about Rivera and either diminishing what he accomplished because you don't feel he should have been the first unanimous choice or rationalizing why he was deserving while other greats weren't.

 by PARAM
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   12241  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

moklerman wrote:I think this conversation isn't so much about Rivera being deserving, it's about him being the first. He likely deserves to be unanimous but it's a shame that so many before him weren't.

Breaking that ice will hopefully become a good thing but it places an elevated value on him that he doesn't deserve. That he is the first unanimous choices puts him ahead of many greats of the past that I think all would agree that he wasn't "as" great as.

There are so many examples of guys who should have been unanimous that it's pointless to list some of them. So, this really should be a commentary on the broken HOF process and the petty, vindictive members that populate the voters. But, it becomes about Rivera and either diminishing what he accomplished because you don't feel he should have been the first unanimous choice or rationalizing why he was deserving while other greats weren't.


That's an interesting take.

You mean there were others more deserving of a unanamous selection because they were better than Mo? Who? Please give me those examples.

I say he was so good, he overcame the desire of the press to NEVER vote someone in unanamously.

As far as "placing an elevated value on him he doesn't deserve", again I disagree. He is the best "closer" of all time. Why? Beyond the numbers.....652 saves (and another 42 in the postseason), 2.21 ERA (0.70 in 96 PS games), 1.00 Whip (an astounding 0.759 in PS) and 8.2 K's per 9 innings....it was the fact he did it with 1 pitch. It's true postseason stats don't figure in to "all time stats" but they do figure in to HOF consideration. I sight them because that is a situation with more pressure than the regular season, against a team who were the best in the National League.

Furthermore, it's not like Rivera had to figure out what was working on any given day he was asked to shut down the opponent. Was the curve working? The slider? The 2 seamer? The 4 seamer? The change up? No, he had 1 pitch and it had to be working (and usually was). That is incredible because the opponents knew what was coming and still couldn't capitalize on it. That my friend is greatness. Name me another player who was as dominant at his position as Rivera was at his.

Over the course of 16 years (in a 17 year span; minus his injury shortened season 2012) from 1997 through 2013, he saved 647 games and won 81. That means he was responsible for 728 wins which could have been losses had he not done the job he was asked to do. And that comes out to 45.5 wins per season....over 16 seasons. Name me another player who had 16 years of complete dominance over the opposition and helped his team to that degree. And consistent? His first full year as a closer he had 43 saves. His last 44.

 by dieterbrock
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   11512  
 Joined:  Mar 31 2015
United States of America   New Jersey
Hall of Fame

Love Mo.
Spoiled as a Yankee fan to have had him as long as we did.

I cant really chime in on the whole unanimous stuff. Personally, I found it irritating that certain voters wouldn't vote for someone as they didn't think anyone should go in unanimous. And that whole thing took on a life of its own. Babe Ruth wasn't, so why should anyone else seemed like a mantra.
In any event, I'm glad that the tape was broken, and hopefully this puts an end to the nonsense. Cool that it was Mo, but, I surely don't think he was the first who was truly deserved of the honor. Nope, the time was just right.

Next up is letting the steroid guys in like Clemens and Bonds. Just get it over with already

 by PARAM
5 years 2 months ago
 Total posts:   12241  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

dieterbrock wrote:Next up is letting the steroid guys in like Clemens and Bonds. Just get it over with already


Agree with everything in your post except this ^^^^^^.


Screw the steroid guys. Some of them would have been in without the shit and that is part of the reason they shouldn't be. They didn't just want to be great, they wanted to be the greatest even if it was by artificial means. That's lame and the sentence should be, "you lose". When Joe Jackson is put in the HOF along with Pete Rose, I might soften my view of letting the real cheaters into the HOF. And even then I'm not sure I would lean towards acceptance. Fuck them.

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37 posts Apr 17 2024