[Elvis]

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/20 ... -the-rear/

Here are CG’s 2015 win totals for all 32 teams as of February 13:

New England: 11
Seattle: 11

Green Bay: 10.5

Denver: 10

Dallas: 9.5
Indianapolis: 9.5

Baltimore: 9
New Orleans: 9
Philadelphia: 9

Atlanta: 8.5
Buffalo: 8.5
Carolina: 8.5
Cincinnati: 8.5
Detroit: 8.5
Houston: 8.5
Kansas City: 8.5
Pittsburgh: 8.5
San Diego: 8.5
San Francisco: 8.5

Arizona: 8
Miami: 8
N.Y. Giants: 8

St. Louis: 7.5

Chicago: 7

Minnesota: 6.5
N.Y. Jets: 6.5

Cleveland: 6
Washington: 6

Jacksonville: 5.5

Tampa Bay: 5
Tennessee: 5

Oakland: 4.5

[Gareth]

Sadly, It seems like going under on the Rams every year is the play until something changes. Maybe this is the year.

[Hacksaw]

Tough schedule. Possible lame ducks. I dunno.

Now if Stan comes out and announces they are staying tomorrow or whenever, the city will be energized and the team might feed off that.

[Elvis]

New numbers from Covers.com (post draft), Rams up to 8. Now if i weren't a Rams fan, i'd think that was a little high considering they haven't won 8 games since 2006, and haven't gone over 8 since 2003...

http://www.covers.com/articles/articles ... Art=418047

CARDINALS 8.5 OVER +130 UNDER -150

FALCONS 8.0 OVER -135 UNDER +115

RAVENS 9.0 OVER +105 UNDER -125

BILLS 8.5 OVER -110 UNDER -110

PANTHERS 8.5 OVER +115 UNDER -135

BEARS 7.0 OVER +130 UNDER -150

BENGALS 8.5 OVER -110 UNDER -110

BROWNS 6.5 OVER -110 UNDER -110

COWBOYS 9.5 OVER +120 UNDER -140

BRONCOS 10.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110

LIONS 8.5 OVER +120 UNDER -140

PACKERS 11.0 OVER +130 UNDER -150

TEXANS 8.5 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN

COLTS 10.5 OVER -170 UNDER +150

JAGUARS 5.5 OVER -170 UNDER +150

CHIEFS 8.5 OVER -110 UNDER -110

DOLPHINS 9.0 OVER +110 UNDER -130

VIKINGS 7.0 OVER -130 UNDER +110

PATRIOTS 10.5 OVER -130 UNDER +110

SAINTS 9.0 OVER +120 UNDER -140

GIANTS 8.0 OVER -140 UNDER +120

JETS 7.0 OVER -140 UNDER +120

RAIDERS 5.5 OVER +120 UNDER -140

EAGLES 9.5 OVER +120 UNDER -140

STEELERS 8.5 OVER +110 UNDER -130

CHARGERS 8.0 OVER -120 UNDER EVEN

49ERS 7.5 OVER +120 UNDER -140

SEAHAWKS 11.0 OVER +110 UNDER -130

RAMS 8.0 OVER -110 UNDER -110

BUCS 6.0 OVER +120 UNDER -140

TITANS 5.5 OVER EVEN UNDER -120

REDSKINS 6.0 OVER -110 UNDER -110

[Hacksaw]

So hard to handi-cap with all that's going on. Will more pressers create more fan apathy and attendance falls. Do the locals rally and cheer the team on to more victories. Was Bradford / back-up's the problem all along? Was the team just THAT bad and it took this long for Snisher to fix it but now they have? Will the team stay healthy?

We'll see but I will say that a slightly easier schedule, StL fans will rally (unless the team is a loser), Bradford was a huge problem and the team WAS that bad but no longer is. If we stay healthy........
9 wins

[Elvis]

http://www.covers.com/articles/articles ... Art=418320

Vegas books and bettors give advice on betting NFL season win totals
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

It’s no secret that one of NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell’s primary mandates as czar of the most powerful sports enterprise in America is to establish a method in which to turn professional football from nine-month talking point into year-round behemoth.

The irony clouding this ambitious and intelligent line of thinking is that Goodell is hell-bent on distancing his product as far as possible from the industry and people who are currently best suited to help bridge the lack-of-interest gap between the NFL Draft and start of training camp.

With the dust having settled on the 2015 NFL Draft, the public’s attention is quickly shifting from football to MLB and the NBA and NHL playoffs, as well as non-sports related interests like the beach and weekend barbeques. But as the NFL begins to take its yearly sabbatical from the above-the-fold headlines, there’s a pulsating, brightly-lit corner of the Southern Nevada desert that continues to promote professional football, even if the industry itself enters its vacation period.

Futures odds on the upcoming NFL season were out even before this past Super Bowl was played, and season win totals followed with CG Technology releasing those popular odds in February and then putting out odds on every game from Week 1 to Week 16 in April.

On Sunday, May 3, at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, less than a full 24 hours after the conclusion of the NFL Draft, Jay Kornegay, Jeff Sherman, Ed Salmons and the rest of the Westgate sportsbook oddsmaking team released the shop’s 2015 NFL season win totals.

Goodell need look no further than the spacious floor of the Westgate’s sportsbook to recognize that, despite the conclusion of this year’s Draft, there is still plenty of interest in pro football.

“Most action occurs during the preseason as interest and performance can start to be evaluated,” Superbook assistant manager Jeff Sherman told Covers. “But we’ve already seen action in favor of the Denver Over [10], Green Bay Under [11], Jacksonville Under [5.5], Miami Under [9] and Seattle Under [11].”

Bettors can wager up to $3,000 on NFL season win total propositions at the Westgate, while Johnny Avello, director of race & sports at Wynn Las Vegas and Encore Resort offers limits ranging from $3,000-$40,000 depending upon the individual.

Avello plans to release his NFL season win total props sometime in June.

As one could imagine, however, wagering on season win total propositions and turning a profit on this six-month investment can be two totally different experiences entirely.

“Playing any type of season win total comes down to perceived edges as opposed to having your money held by the sportsbooks for six months or more,” professional handicapper Bryan Leonard told Covers. “You must either have a great feel for a total or are confident you know which way the line will move for scalping reasons. If I see something that, in my opinion, is really off, I will play the opening numbers. Then, when more books come out with their numbers, I may add to my wager or look to scalp. Middling NFL season win totals can be huge when only 16 games are played.”

Leonard advises a prudent approach which is supported by what both Sherman and Avello told Covers in regards to when their shops take action from sophisticated gamblers.

“We see sharp action when we first post the props as well as during the preseason, while the public tends to bet win totals whenever they are in town,” said Avello.

“Most sharp action occurs when a new book posts a different number or when the public drives the number or price on a team to a point that strays very far from the opener,” said Sherman.

In addition to his thoughts on when to attack season win total props, Leonard was willing to share his advice as to which pitfalls rookie bettors should attempt to avoid.

“The two biggest mistakes a rookie NFL season win player makes are comparing this year’s win total numbers to each team’s total wins from the previous year. You have to look at points scored and points allowed, which is a far better gauge on how the team played the previous season. The second tip would be to analyze schedules. Did the team in question play a first-place schedule last year with a tough crossover division as opposed to an easier schedule this year with a weak crossover? A team could actually be a lesser team this season and still win more games.”

While Leonard hasn’t jumped into the 2015 NFL season win total pool just yet, he has taken a preliminary look at the opening numbers.

“I really thought the San Francisco number came out too high at 8.5 (-120) to the Over. This team is just a shell of its former self and it plays in what many consider the toughest division in the league. The cross conference division this year is the AFC North, where three of the four teams are playoff contenders.”