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 by aeneas1
5 days ago
 Total posts:   14815  
 Joined:  Sep 13 2015
United States of America   Norcal
Hall of Fame

here's a look at the postseason picture headed into week 11... if the season ended today, the rams (6th seed) would travel to seattle (3rd seed) for round one, while the cards would travel to new orleans and the bucs to philly.

4 of the 7 teams on the rams remaining schedule have winning records (currently), only the eagles have more (5 of 7) among the current nfc postseason seeds, while the seahawks and cards only have 1 and 2 respectively (blue text = wt, i.e. winning teams (currently) remaining on schedule):

01.png


and here's a "what have you done for me lately" look at the postseason picture, how each team's remaining schedule looks based on how teams have fared since week 7... in this case the rams have only 1 team on their remaining schedule with a (current) winning record:

03.png

 by PARAM
5 days ago
 Total posts:   6002  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

At the risk of understating things, Monday's game is huge. For both teams.

In fact, if the Saints beat the Falcons, which doesn't seem to be a huge task, Tampa is in a more desperate situation than the Rams. Falling to 7-4 if the Saints go to 8-2 puts them out of the division race for all intents and purposes, having lost their 2 head to head matchups. The Saints play one game that should be a loss (KC) while the other 5 seem very winnable. The only concern is 4 of the last 6 are on the road, KC and Minnesota being their final 2 home games.

If the Rams should lose to Tampa, they can always climb back into a tie with Seattle via another head to head win which would also give them a tie breaker over the Seahawks. It's a tough ask but it can be done. Better to beat Tampa and reach a tie with Seattle after 10 weeks. It would give the Rams a little wiggle room with the 5 opponents not from Seattle over the last 6 weeks.

It is time for the Rams to put a complete game together offensively. Use all three running backs. Go deep a few times. Put up 30+.

 by mike schad 1st rd
5 days ago
 Total posts:   113  
 Joined:  Aug 31 2016
United States of America   LA Coliseum
Practice Squad

IF Atlanta beats New Orleans and Indianapolis beats Green Bay Sunday, and Rams beat Tampa Bay Monday, the #1 seed when you wake up Tuesday morning will be your... Los Angeles Rams.

 by aeneas1
5 days ago
 Total posts:   14815  
 Joined:  Sep 13 2015
United States of America   Norcal
Hall of Fame

mike schad 1st rd wrote:IF Atlanta beats New Orleans and Indianapolis beats Green Bay Sunday, and Rams beat Tampa Bay Monday, the #1 seed when you wake up Tuesday morning will be your... Los Angeles Rams.

yep, we would own the best conference record...

playoff machine / calculator: http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

z01.png


current standings:

z02.png

 by aeneas1
5 days ago
 Total posts:   14815  
 Joined:  Sep 13 2015
United States of America   Norcal
Hall of Fame

here's a look at 538's postseason prediction model results throughout the season... so, for example, before game 1 their model gave the rams a 49% chance to reach the playoffs, a 23% chance to win the division, and a 3% chance to win the super bowl... as today the rams chances are 77%, 31%, and 4% respectively according to their model...

1= chances headed into week 1
4 = chances headed into week 4
7 = chances headed into week 7
t = as of today

z11.png

 by PARAM
5 days ago
 Total posts:   6002  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

This is giving me a headache!!!! In the 54 years I've been a Rams fan they've gone to the postseason 23 times. We've lost to the eventual Superbowl Champs 3 times. We've lost to the Superbowl losers 7 times. We've lost the Superbowl ourselves 3 times. And we were Champions once!! Damn, 54 years has got to bring more than that!!!

But this regime has a different feel to it. In the 60's George Allen couldn't win the big one but both playoff years we lost to a SB team. In the 70's Knox had 4 shots to win 1 game to get there and couldn't. Then in 79 when it didn't look like we'd even make the playoffs we got to the Superbowl with Malavasi's defense. I still say to this day, if the Steeler players were honest, that's the only SB they felt they might lose. In the 80's Robinson couldn't get us there but he had two chances and each time the SB champ beat us.....soundly. Finally, an out of nowhere juggernaut got us that elusive Lombardi and we thought we had a dynasty. Hell the players thought they had a dynasty. But we got beat by a dynasty and it was downhill fast from there.

Now these guys get us to the postseason in their first two years (together), get us to the Superbowl and then miss the playoffs by one game in the third year. Now, in the 4th it's looking like we gonna get back to the tourney and nobody is really looking at the Rams as a "contender". But today I heard Kyle Brandt (GMFB) say, "watch out for the Rams. They have the best defense in that division and frankly, it's probably the best defense in the NFC. I gotta figure Sean McVay is going to figure out something offensively and.......". Might we be able to get there? Two in the first four years would definitely be success.....as long as they win one.

 by mike schad 1st rd
5 days ago
 Total posts:   113  
 Joined:  Aug 31 2016
United States of America   LA Coliseum
Practice Squad

Great Post PA.Great memories. One SLIGHT correction. Knox had 3 chances to get to the big game with 1 win, not 4.

 by PARAM
5 days ago
 Total posts:   6002  
 Joined:  Jul 15 2015
Barbados   Just far enough North of Philadelphia
Hall of Fame

mike schad 1st rd wrote:Great Post PA.Great memories. One SLIGHT correction. Knox had 3 chances to get to the big game with 1 win, not 4.


Right. My bad. Malavasi had 2 not just the one when we got there. :oops2:

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13 posts Nov 26 2020