[JackPMiller]

Patriots are winning 9 games, with who at QB? We play the NFC EAST & NFC EAST this year. We have what may be our weakest schedule in forever.

[PARAM]

Patriots are winning 9 games, with who at QB? We play the NFC EAST & NFC EAST this year. We have what may be our weakest schedule in forever.

I think the Eagles, Dallas and the Giants will all be better. The AFC East? Not worried at all except for what month we play in Buffalo. Tampa? Chicago? We should beat both but then we should have beat Tampa this year. The key, as always is the division games. Sweep a couple and split with the other and you need to go 5-5 with the rest of your schedule to win 10. Do better than 5-5 and you win 11 or 12.

[Elvis]

Patriots are winning 9 games, with who at QB? We play the NFC EAST & NFC EAST this year. We have what may be our weakest schedule in forever.

The numbers have probably moved since i posted them, though just found this from FanDuel from 3 days ago and Pats at 9 here too, Rams at 8.5:

NFL Win Totals 2020
All NFL win totals and betting odds are according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

1. Ravens 2020 Win Total: 11.5
Total: 11.5 – Over: (+105) | Under: (-125)
Ravens 2019 Record: (14-2)

2. Chiefs 2020 Win Total: 11.5
Total: 11.5 – Over: (-125) | Under: (+105)
Chiefs 2019 Record: (12-4)

3. Saints 2020 Win Total: 10.5
Total: 10.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Saints 2019 Record: (13-3)

4. 49ers 2020 Win Total: 10.5
Total: 10.5 – Over: (-130) | Under: (+110)
49ers 2019 Record: (13-3)

5. Cowboys 2020 Win Total: 9.5
Total: 9.5 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Cowboys 2019 Record: (8-8)

6. Eagles 2020 Win Total: 9.5
Total: 9.5 – Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
Eagles 2019 Record: (9-7)

7. Seahawks 2020 Win Total: 9.5
Total: 9.5 – Over: (+105) | Under: (-125)
Seahawks 2019 Record: (11-5)

8. Packers 2020 Win Total: 9
Total: 9 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Packers 2019 Record: (13-3)

9. Patriots 2020 Win Total: 9
Total: 9 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Patriots 2019 Record: (12-4)

10. Steelers 2020 Win Total: 9
Total: 9 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Steelers 2019 Record: (8-8)

11. Buccaneers 2020 Win Total: 9
Total: 9 – Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Buccaneers 2019 Record: (7-9)

12. Bills 2020 Win Total: 8.5
Total: 8.5 – Over: (-125) | Under: (+105)
Bills 2019 Record: (10-6)

13. Browns 2020 Win Total: 8.5
Total: 8.5 – Over: (+116) | Under: (-136)
Browns 2019 Record: (6-10)

14. Colts 2020 Win Total: 8.5
Total: 8.5 – Over: (-130) | Under: (+110)
Colts 2019 Record: (7-9)

15. Rams 2020 Win Total: 8.5
Total: 8.5 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Rams 2019 Record: (9-7)

16. Vikings 2020 Win Total: 8.5
Total: 8.5 – Over: (-130) | Under: (+110)
Vikings 2019 Record: (10-6)

17. Titans 2020 Win Total: 8.5
Total: 8.5 – Over: (+100) | Under: (-120)
Titans 2019 Record: (9-7)

18. Bears 2020 Win Total: 8
Total: 8 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Bears 2019 Record: (8-8)

19. Falcons 2020 Win Total: 7.5
Total: 7.5 – Over: (+100) | Under: (-120)
Falcons 2019 Record: (7-9)

20. Broncos 2020 Win Total: 7.5
Total: 7.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Broncos 2019 Record: (7-9)

21. Texans 2020 Win Total: 7.5
Total: 7.5 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Texans 2019 Record: (10-6)

22. Raiders 2020 Win Total: 7.5
Total: 7.5 – Over: (+100) | Under: (-120)
Raiders 2019 Record: (7-9)

23. Chargers 2020 Win Total: 7.5
Total: 7.5 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Chargers 2019 Record: (5-11)

24. Cardinals 2020 Win Total: 7
Total: 7 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Cardinals 2019 Record: (5-10-1)

25. Lions 2020 Win Total: 6.5
Total: 6.5 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Lions 2019 Record: (3-12-1)

26. Jets 2020 Win Total: 6.5
Total: 6.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Jets 2019 Record: (7-9)

27. Dolphins 2020 Win Total: 6
Total: 6 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Dolphins 2019 Record: (5-11)

28. Giants 2020 Win Total: 6
Total: 6 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Giants 2019 Record: (4-12)

29. Panthers 2020 Win Total: 5.5
Total: 5.5 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Panthers 2019 Record: (5-11)

30. Bengals 2020 Win Total: 5.5
Total: 5.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Bengals 2019 Record: (2-14)

31. Jaguars 2020 Win Total: 5
Total: 5 – Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Jaguars 2019 Record: (6-10)

32. Redskins 2020 Win Total: 5
Total: 5 – Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
Redskins 2019 Record: (3-13)

[actionjack]

No I didn't miss that part. Why cap it at 10? Previous to 2019 we won 11 and 13.

They could win more obviously, its my best guess, but with our division it's going to be hard to get much higher than that IMO. Lets say we go 3-3 in the division, we have to go 7-3 outside of it. I think that is pretty bullish.

[Elvis]

I'll take over 8.5 (assuming they play 16)...

[aeneas1]

I'll take over 8.5 (assuming they play 16)...

c'mon, what kind of fan are you, take the over 8.5 with a 14-game schedule!

[Hacksaw]

take down SEA and SF and their totals go down.. we got this.

[Elvis]

Coach of the Year:

[Hacksaw]

McV has some provin' to do !

[kayfabe]

In the last 30(!) years only twice has the eventual coach of the year had less than three wins above their expected win total. And the average wins-above expected for these thirty coaches was 4.5. So The Rams might have to go something like 13-3 for McVay to (re)win it.

Also there’s a heavy bias in the last 30 years towards new coaches: 16 of the 30 were either first year or second year with a team (again: see McVay 2017). And hard to win twice too: only four of those since 1990, including Belichick, Bruce Arians and Ron Rivera(!). Could Arians and/or Rivera three-peat this year?? Ten wins for the Redskins, twelve for Tampa might just do it. That said I’m liking the value of a lot of the longer shots — in the right column — versus the favorites; a lot of upside there.